The Black Swan: The Impact of the Highly Improbable
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Why are we so often unwilling to accept that life is unpredictable? In this book, the author distils his idiosyncratic wisdom to demolish our illusions, contrasting the classical values of courage, elegance and erudition against modern philistinism and phoniness.
Author : Nassim Nicholas Taleb
Label : Penguin
Manufacturer : Penguin
Studio : Penguin
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Very interesting theory on why our models are wrong to ignore the impact of the highly improbable. Think Fukushima, Subprime, etc.
It reminds me of the 7 sources of innovation from Peter Drucker. The first one being "The unexpected" according to him.
waouh un point commun avec toi Martin, j'adore Taleb, son autre bouquin est super aussi (même si la thématique reste très proche)
Un livre génial sur le hasard (la chance) et son role dans le business. Vous apprendrez aussi que Gauss c'est de la grosse merde, surtout si vous faites de la finance